中文版 | English
Title

Significant hot hand effect in the game of cricket

Author
Corresponding AuthorRam,Sumit Kumar; Sornette,Didier
Publication Years
2022-07-08
DOI
Source Title
ISSN
2045-2322
EISSN
2045-2322
Volume12Issue:1
Abstract

We investigate the predictability and persistence of individual and team performance (hot-hand effect) by analyzing the complete recorded history of international cricket. We introduce an original temporal representation of performance streaks, which is suitable to be modelled as a self-exciting point process. We confirm the presence of predictability and hot-hands across the individual performance and the absence of the same in team performance and game outcome. Thus, Cricket is a game of skill for individuals and a game of chance for the teams. Our study contributes to recent historiographical debates concerning the presence of persistence in individual and collective productivity and success. The introduction of several metrics and methods can be useful to test and exploit clustering of performance in the study of human behavior and design of algorithms for predicting success.

URL[Source Record]
Indexed By
Language
English
SUSTech Authorship
Corresponding
WOS Research Area
Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS Subject
Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS Accession No
WOS:000822436100036
Publisher
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85133698199
Data Source
Web of Science
Citation statistics
Cited Times [WOS]:0
Document TypeJournal Article
Identifierhttp://kc.sustech.edu.cn/handle/2SGJ60CL/355880
DepartmentAcademy for Advanced Interdisciplinary Studies
前沿与交叉科学研究院_风险分析预测与管控研究院
Affiliation
1.Connection Science,Massachusetts Institute of Technology,Cambridge,United States
2.Department of Management,Technology and Economics,ETH Zürich,Zurich,Scheuchzerstrasse 7,8092,Switzerland
3.Swiss Seismological Service,ETH Zürich,Zurich,Sonneggstrasse 5,8092,Switzerland
4.Institute of Risk Analysis,Prediction and Management (Risks-X),Academy for Advanced Interdisciplinary Studies,Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech),Shenzhen,China
Corresponding Author AffilicationAcademy for Advanced Interdisciplinary Studies
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Ram,Sumit Kumar,Nandan,Shyam,Sornette,Didier. Significant hot hand effect in the game of cricket[J]. Scientific Reports,2022,12(1).
APA
Ram,Sumit Kumar,Nandan,Shyam,&Sornette,Didier.(2022).Significant hot hand effect in the game of cricket.Scientific Reports,12(1).
MLA
Ram,Sumit Kumar,et al."Significant hot hand effect in the game of cricket".Scientific Reports 12.1(2022).
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