Non-linear effects of natural and anthropogenic drivers on ecosystem services: Integrating thresholds into conservation planning

Li，Delong1,2; Cao，Wenfang1; Dou，Yuehan1; Wu，Shuyao3,4; Liu，Junguo1; Li，Shuangcheng2

2022-11-01

10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116047

JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT   Impact Factor & Quartile

0301-4797

1095-8630

Ecosystem services (ESs) have been widely used for ecological protection and land spatial planning. Natural and anthropogenic drivers exhibit a strong dynamic coupling relationship with ESs. However, current ESs-related research focused on mapping the ESs spatially or investing the trade-offs and synergies relationship between ES, ignoring the nonlinear response of ESs to natural and anthropogenic drivers. Here we aimed to investigate the nonlinear effect of 14 potential drivers (8 natural and 6 anthropogenic) on the total value of six typical ESs (ESV). Taking Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration (BTH) in China as an example, we established 14 constrain lines and identified critical thresholds through the restricted cubic splines (RCS) regression. We found strong non-linear impacts of natural and anthropogenic drivers on ESV and critical thresholds existed among all the 14 constrain lines. The RCS plots showed that the overall ESV was kept at a high level before or after certain thresholds (e.g., altitude >687 m, slope >13.4°, NDVI >0.7, distance from water <31.2 km, etc.). We categorized these threshold combinations and found the potentially high ES delivery areas were mainly distributed in the Yanshan Mountian, accounting for approximately 5% of the total BTH region. These critical thresholds offer a new method to delineate conservation and restoration priority areas.

Critical threshold Ecosystem service Natural and anthropogenic driver Restoration priority area Restricted cubic spline

SCI

English

First ; Corresponding

National Natural Science Foundation of China[41590843];

Environmental Sciences & Ecology

Environmental Sciences

WOS:000863071400001

ACADEMIC PRESS LTD- ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD

ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY

2-s2.0-85136513987

Scopus

1.School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Southern University of Science and Technology,Shenzhen,518055,China
2.College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Peking University,Beijing,100871,China
3.Qingdao Institute of Humanities and Social Sciences,Shandong University,Qingdao,Shandong,266237,China
4.Center for Yellow River Ecosystem Products,Shandong University,Qingdao,Shandong,266237,China

Li，Delong,Cao，Wenfang,Dou，Yuehan,et al. Non-linear effects of natural and anthropogenic drivers on ecosystem services: Integrating thresholds into conservation planning[J]. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,2022,321.

Li，Delong,Cao，Wenfang,Dou，Yuehan,Wu，Shuyao,Liu，Junguo,&Li，Shuangcheng.(2022).Non-linear effects of natural and anthropogenic drivers on ecosystem services: Integrating thresholds into conservation planning.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,321.

Li，Delong,et al."Non-linear effects of natural and anthropogenic drivers on ecosystem services: Integrating thresholds into conservation planning".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 321(2022).