中文版 | English
Title

珠江河口磨刀门水道枯季咸潮预报模型研究

Alternative Title
Prediction model of saltwater intrusion during dry seasons in the Modaomen Waterway of Pearl River Estuary
Author
Publication Years
2023
DOI
Source Title
ISSN
1673-9264
Volume33Issue:6Pages:20-24
Abstract
在气候变化和人类活动影响下,珠江口磨刀门水道咸潮上溯日趋严峻,严重威胁澳门、珠海和中山3地供水安全.基于2021-2022年枯水期数据,采用多元非线性回归方法,建立了磨刀门水道平岗泵站日均含氯度及日超标时间的咸潮预报模型.结果表明,平岗泵站日均含氯度时间变化与三灶站日最大潮差、梧州和石角径流间的时滞均为3d,且均呈负相关关系.综合考虑潮汐、径流、前期盐度累积效应,平岗泵站日均含氯度拟合优度r2为0.85.日超标时间与日均含氯度呈幂函数关系,拟合优度r2为0.93.该咸潮预报模型具有较高的精度,可为区域咸潮防控提供科学参考.
Keywords
URL[Source Record]
Language
Chinese
SUSTech Authorship
Others
Funding Project
2023-01:广东省水利科技创新项目 ; SKS-2022005:水利部重大科技项目
Data Source
WanFang
WanFangID
zgfxkh202306005
Citation statistics
Cited Times [WOS]:0
Document TypeJournal Article
Identifierhttp://kc.sustech.edu.cn/handle/2SGJ60CL/571454
DepartmentSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering
Affiliation
1.水利部珠江河口治理与保护重点实验室,广州 510611
2.珠江水利委员会珠江水利科学研究院,广州 510611
3.广东省西江流域管理局,珠海 519090
4.南方科技大学环境科学与工程学院,深圳 518000
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
林中源,黄鹏飞,吕超寅,等. 珠江河口磨刀门水道枯季咸潮预报模型研究[J]. 中国防汛抗旱,2023,33(6):20-24.
APA
林中源,黄鹏飞,吕超寅,史海匀,&邹华志.(2023).珠江河口磨刀门水道枯季咸潮预报模型研究.中国防汛抗旱,33(6),20-24.
MLA
林中源,et al."珠江河口磨刀门水道枯季咸潮预报模型研究".中国防汛抗旱 33.6(2023):20-24.
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